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Should-cost analysis breakdown and cost modeling
Cost Analysis
January 15, 2026
16 min read

Should-Cost Analysis Guide

Learn should-cost analysis methodology to understand fair market pricing. Build cost models to strengthen negotiation position and validate vendor proposals.

SL

SpecLens Team

Procurement & AI Experts

What's a fair price? Not what vendors quote—but what something should actually cost based on its components, labor, overhead, and reasonable margin.

Should-cost analysis builds independent cost estimates before negotiating—shifting power from "take it or leave it" to data-informed negotiation.

Cost breakdown waterfall chart

What is Should-Cost Analysis?

ComponentWhat It IncludesTypical %
Direct materialsRaw materials, components, packaging30-60%
Direct laborProduction and assembly time10-25%
Manufacturing overheadFacility, equipment, utilities10-20%
SG&ASales, admin, R&D10-20%
Profit marginVendor's reasonable return5-15%

Why Should-Cost Matters

Without Should-CostWith Should-Cost
Accept vendor pricing as givenChallenge specific cost elements
Limited negotiation leverageData-backed position
Opaque cost structureTransparent understanding
Hope for "good deal"Know what "good" means

When to Use Should-Cost

High-Value UsesLower Priority
Major purchases, recurring contractsOne-time purchases
Categories bought regularlyHighly differentiated products
Vendor pricing concernsSmall dollar value
Strategic supplier relationshipsSpot purchases
Should-cost analysis process

Building a Cost Model

Step 1: Define the Product/Service

Document detailed specifications, bill of materials, process steps, volume requirements, and quality requirements.

Step 2: Identify Cost Elements

  • Direct Materials: Raw materials, purchased components, packaging
  • Direct Labor: Operations, time per operation, skill level
  • Overhead: Facility costs, equipment depreciation, utilities
  • SG&A: Sales costs, administrative overhead
  • Margin: Industry-typical profit margins

Step 3: Gather Cost Data

Cost ElementData Sources
Raw materialsCommodity indices (LME, COMEX), supplier quotes
ComponentsDistributor pricing, manufacturer MSRP
LaborBureau of Labor Statistics, industry surveys
OverheadIndustry ratios, public company data
MarginPublic company financials, industry analysis

Example Calculation

Cost ElementCalculationAmount
Steel (2.5 kg @ $1.20/kg)2.5 × $1.20$3.00
Electronics moduleMarket price$45.00
Other materialsVarious$12.00
Direct Materials$60.00
Labor (0.5 hr @ $30/hr)0.5 × $30$15.00
Overhead (50% of labor)$15 × 0.5$7.50
SG&A (15% of above)$82.50 × 0.15$12.38
Profit (10% margin)$94.88 × 0.10$9.49
Total Should-Cost$104.37

Using Should-Cost in Negotiation

✅ Better Approach

Avoid: "Your price is too high."

Use: "Based on current steel prices and standard manufacturing overhead ratios, we estimate production cost at approximately $X. Can you help us understand the gap between that and your quoted price?"

Handling Vendor Responses

Vendor ResponseYour Counter
"Our quality is higher"Help us understand specific quality differences and cost impact
"Materials cost more"Share your current material costs so we can update our model
"R&D/innovation included"What's the reasonable R&D allocation for this product?
"Our margins are competitive"What margin does your pricing reflect vs. industry benchmarks?

Model Accuracy Expectations

Level of DetailTypical Accuracy
High-level estimate±25-35%
Detailed model±15-25%
Engineering estimate±10-15%
Full breakdown with verification±5-10%
Key Insight: The goal isn't precision—it's informed understanding of cost structure. Even rough models dramatically improve negotiation positioning.

Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are should-cost models?

Typical accuracy is ±10-25%. The goal isn't precision—it's informed understanding. Even rough data estimates improve over no analysis.

Should I share my model with vendors?

Strategically. Sometimes showing you've done homework changes dynamics. Other times, keep as internal preparation. Don't share methodology that vendors can game.

Is should-cost only for manufactured products?

No. Services can be analyzed too: labor hours × rates, material consumption, overhead allocation, margin expectations. The methodology applies to anything with definable cost elements.

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Compare Vendor Specifications

Specification differences between vendors should explain price differences. SpecLens helps identify which specs justify premiums—and which don't.

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Know What You Should Pay

Should-cost analysis transforms negotiation from guesswork to data-informed discussion. Build your models, understand cost drivers, and negotiate from knowledge.

Calculate TCO → | Hidden Costs Guide →

Tags:

Should-Cost
Cost Modeling
Negotiation
Fair Pricing
Cost Analysis

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